EUR/GBP Forecast: Pair Stuck in Tight Range Around 0.8700 Amid Symmetrical Wedge Formation

The Euro has given back recent gains against the British Pound, slipping below the 0.8700 level on Thursday, as traders assess the implications of weaker-than-expected UK inflation data.

Euro Retreats After Soft UK Inflation Data

After advancing on Wednesday, EUR/GBP reversed course and fell back under 0.8700, as UK CPI data came in softer than forecast. Headline inflation rose 3.8% year-on-year in September, below the 4.0% consensus estimate, fueling expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) could cut interest rates again before year-end.

The Pound initially weakened across the board following the data, but the broader move in EUR/GBP has remained limited within a 70-pip range, oscillating between 0.8665 and 0.8730 since early October.

Technical Outlook: Symmetrical Wedge Taking Shape

A look at the 4-hour chart shows EUR/GBP consolidating into a gradually tightening symmetrical wedge pattern centered around the 0.8700 mark — a formation that often precedes a continuation move, potentially to the downside in this case.

  • Support levels: Initial support sits between the wedge base near 0.8670 and October 8 lows at 0.8655. A confirmed break below this zone would expose the September 11 and 15 lows at 0.8635, with a measured target near 0.8620.
  • Resistance levels: On the upside, resistance is seen between 0.8715 and 0.8730, a region that has repeatedly capped advances this month. A break above this zone would shift focus toward the year-to-date high near 0.8750.

Euro Performance Today

The Euro is showing mixed performance across major pairs, trading strongest against the Japanese Yen but softer versus the U.S. Dollar and commodity-linked currencies such as the AUD and NZD.

Base CurrencyUSDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
EUR-0.10%-0.05%0.25%-0.10%-0.37%-0.26%0.06%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is listed on the left column, and the quote currency is on the top row.

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